In-season stock movement

The April Briefing

FY26 · Month 04
Relo · Issue 04
In one paragraph

April was the strongest action month yet. The team captured Rs. 38 L against Rs. 1.84 Crof detected leak — a 21% capture rate, up from 13% in March. Two patterns continue to drive 58% of the leak: network rebalancing lag and replenishment forecast drift. With Eid school-prep peak in May, addressing these systematically could unlock another Rs. 60 L this quarter.

The numbers

Detected leak · Apr
Rs. 1.84 Cr
Captured
Rs. 38 L
Capture rate
21%

What this means in plain English: Relo is identifying about Rs. 46 L of revenue and margin leak per weekacross the network. The merchandising team is now actioning roughly one in five of those flagged opportunities — the rest are being missed because of either capacity, prioritisation, or process friction.

For context: industry benchmark for mature deployments is a 35–45% capture rate. We have headroom — and the trajectory is right. Capture rate has improved every month since deployment in February.

The pattern of the month

Stock is rarely missing from the company.
It's usually missing from the right store.

Of the Rs. 1.84 Cr leak detected in April, Rs. 62 L (34%) was network rebalancing lag — situations where the company collectively had enough stock to meet demand, but it was sitting in the wrong stores. The classic example, repeated four times across April:

A surge in school-shoe demand in Punjab cluster (Faisalabad, Multan, Sialkot) coincided with overstocked Karachi Clifton and Lahore Defence stores carrying 6+ weeks of cover. The transfer cycle from detection to truck-departure averaged 4.2 days, against an industry benchmark of 1.8 days. By the time stock arrived, the OOS days had cost full-price revenue and customer experience.

The fix is not technical, it's procedural. Our current SOP triggers a transfer only when a store hits OOS. By that point, it is too late. The recommended change — implemented in mature retailers — is to trigger transfers when a recipient drops below 1.5 weeks of cover and a donor exceeds 5 weeks. Early-trigger reduces OOS days by 60–70% in mid-season peaks.

What we captured this month

Three actions accounted for two-thirds of the Rs. 38 L captured in April:

01
Re-grading 6 Karachi stores

Stale store-grading from FY25 was causing 22% over-receiving on women’s sandals across Tariq Road, Bahadurabad, and DHA Phase 8. Faiza re-graded these to “B” cluster on April 14.

Rs. 14 L
captured
02
Punjab early-allocation push

Acted on a forecast-drift detection 11 days early, pushing additional school-shoe stock to Punjab cluster ahead of plan. Sell-through tracking 14% above forecast.

Rs. 8 L
captured
03
Men’s formal early markdown

4 styles in men’s formal flagged as markdown-bound. Targeted Rs. 200-off promo in 3 stores cleared 60% of stock at preserved margin vs end-of-season clearance.

Rs. 4 L
captured

Looking ahead · May

The Eid school-prep peak begins approximately 14 May. School-shoe demand typically increases 2.4× in the three weeks before. Relo is currently flagging Rs. 42 L of imminent network rebalancing leak for week of May 4 alone — addressed via the Monday briefing actioned by the merchandising team this week.

Two strategic items for the leadership conversation this month:

(a)Adopt the early-trigger transfer SOP discussed above. Estimated annual upside: Rs. 1.4–1.8 Cr.
(b)Refresh the store-grading model — last grading was FY25; sell-through has shifted enough to make ~12 additional stores re-gradable. Estimated upside: Rs. 25–35 L per quarter.

Prepared by Relo · For Mr. Imran Malik, CEO · 1 May 2026CONFIDENTIAL
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